DEEP DIVE: THE GOVERNOR’S 2026 STATE BUDGET PROPOSAL

When state budgets continually focus on the needs of residents — centering kitchen table issues that allow workers, children and families better access to opportunity — they can be transformational. The last few years have shown us the positive benefits of removing barriers to healthcare access, strengthening education systems from cradle to career, and ensuring families have what they need to make ends meet. However, Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s fiscal year (FY) 2026 budget proposal comes in the middle of a lot of uncertainty, with divided state government and chaos and possible drastic budget cuts coming from the federal government. Despite this uncertainty, the governor’s budget builds on the successes of the current and prior years’ budgets, maintaining the things we know work while taking a “center of the lane” approach to new investments. The governor’s budget prioritizes investments in education, talent, infrastructure, public safety and making government work better. 

The governor’s budget proposal, which was presented to the Legislature on Feb. 5, 2025, contains the details of her plan to allocate the state’s resources for the 2026 budget year, which begins on Oct. 1, 2025, and ends on Sept. 30, 2026. For 2026, the governor recommends $83.5 billion in total spending from state and federal sources. About $19.5 billion of our School Aid Fund (SAF) dollars are spent across pre-K-12 schools, community colleges, and colleges and universities. Spending from the state’s General Fund — the portion of the budget over which lawmakers have the most control — is expected to be $15.3 billion. Federal funds continue to make up the largest portion of the state budget, at nearly $34.9 billion or 41.7% of the state budget.

Somewhat surprisingly, the governor’s budget is a slight increase over the current year’s budget, which benefited from a significant one-time surplus. In fact, at the January Consensus Revenue Estimating Conference, the post-COVID economy was deemed to be strong and stable and revenues were estimated to be coming in slightly ahead of what we projected last year. This provided budget crafters with some additional cushion in both one-time and ongoing funds. The governor’s budget recommendation includes about $1.53 billion total ($648.7 million General Fund) in one-time allocations, including the deposit into the Budget Stabilization Fund (often called the Rainy Day Fund); this represents only about 1.8% of total appropriations, or about 4.2% of the General Fund.

As has been the case in past budgets, the vast majority (81%) of the overall state budget supports health and human services, education — including child care, pre-K, K-12 and postsecondary education — and public safety. The same is true for the state’s General Fund budget, with 82.3% of the budget allocated to these three core categories. Overall, health and human services, which provides funding for Michiganders’ basic needs like healthcare, basic cash assistance, food assistance, child welfare, and behavioral health supports, remains the largest department in both overall funds and General Fund appropriations.

The executive budget recommendation also relies on the passage of several new or increased revenue streams, including a new tax on vape and non-tobacco nicotine products. Despite long-term declines in the percentage of children using tobacco, use of tobacco products — including cigarettes, e-cigarettes, vaporizing devices and other tobacco products — among Michigan youth remains too high, especially among high school students. At the same time, Michigan ranks at the bottom of states — and nowhere near what the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommends — in our state spending on tobacco prevention and cessation programs. The governor’s budget recommends implementing a new tax on vape products to raise revenues to support youth mental health, smoking and cancer prevention, and healthcare access programs. 

The governor’s budget allocates nearly all of available one-time and ongoing funds in her recommendation. Based on the governor’s recommendation, the state budget office estimates our state General Fund would end the 2026 budget year with only $11.7 million on the balance sheet, and our state School Aid Fund would end the year with only $18.6 million on the balance sheet. These figures do create some hesitancy as it provides little opportunity to make investments beyond what the governor recommended without reducing or eliminating other proposed investments, and a mild economic downturn, small tax reduction or any other change affecting revenues could easily result in a midyear deficit or shortfall. 

However, one of the largest and most real threats to Michigan’s budget is what is happening in Washington. The week before the governor released her budget, the stability of essential programs was shaken when a federal Office of Management and Budget memorandum mandated a funding freeze in alignment with President Donald Trump’s executive orders and simultaneously programs like Head Start and all state Medicaid Systems could not access their payment systems. While the funding freeze has been temporarily halted, since then, congressional leaders in Washington have released a budget blueprint that slashes vital programs like Medicaid and food assistance in order to provide deep tax cuts for wealthy households. This will have stark consequences on Michigan’s state budget, as several departments rely on significant amounts of federal funds.

Work now turns over to the Legislature to craft their budget proposals, which brings its own risks. Statutorily, the Legislature has a goal of getting a budget to the governor’s desk by July 1, 2025, but, there is no real penalty if the state fails to meet this deadline. However, if the state fails to have a budget in place by October 1, 2025, the state government shuts down. For the first time since the 2009-2010 legislative session, the Legislature is divided, with a Republican-led House and a Democratic-led Senate, which will likely slow down negotiations. 

As Michiganders, we all deserve strong schools, attainable housing, safe drinking water, affordable healthcare, and economic security. The state budget provides an opportunity to improve access to the services that Michigan people — kids, workers, and families — need and rely on, and the League will continue to work toward a People’s Budget that works for all Michiganders.