INCOME TAX

IT’S TIME FOR A FAIRER INCOME TAX IN MICHIGAN

    • Michigan has a flat income tax of 4.25%.
    • The personal income tax accounted for 30.8% of state revenue in 2020.
    • A “trigger” introduced in 2015 may reduce the tax rate beginning as early as 2023, causing the state budget to take a major hit.

 

    1. Michigan should enact a graduated income tax.
    2. Michigan should increase the state Earned Income Tax Credit to at least 20% of the federal credit.
    3. Michigan should eliminate the income tax trigger.

The personal income tax represents the largest single source of state tax revenue. The majority of income tax revenue is allocated to General Fund/General Purpose (GF/GP) spending with the bulk of the remainder going to the School Aid Fund (SAF).

Michigan’s personal income tax was first enacted in 1967 at a rate of 2.6%. The rate fluctuated over the years, reaching a high of 6.35% in 1983 before finally settling to the current rate of 4.25% following tax changes of 2011.[1]

Michigan’s flat tax structure, found in only nine states, means all income earners are subject to the same tax rate regardless of their income base. While the vast majority of states have a graduated income tax, meaning the rate rises with income, Michigan’s Constitution explicitly bans the state from adopting this fairer tax structure.    

    • Rate = the percent of income owed
    • Base = the taxpayer’s net taxable income, generally adjusted income after deductions and exemptions

The State Supreme Court even held that phasing out personal exemptions or deductions for higher-income earners, as was attempted in the 2011 income tax reforms, created an unconstitutional graduated income tax.[2]

The ban on a graduated income tax is one of the key features contributing to inequity in Michigan’s tax system. By maintaining a flat income tax, Michigan is asking the wealthiest household to pay the same marginal rate as the household with the least income.

A flat tax also makes it difficult for Michigan to narrow racial income and wealth gaps. Decades of discrimination in housing, education, and the workplace have contributed to large disparities in the incomes of Black and brown households. Compared to the Michigan average earnings of $75,000 annually, Black households earn on average $44,300, Indigenous households earn $48,600 on average, and Hispanic households earn $56,300 on average. Meanwhile, White households earn an average income of $81,200 per year.

Because White households are overrepresented in the top 20% of incomes while Black, Indigenous, and Hispanic households are overrepresented in the bottom 20%, a flat income tax tends to benefit White households.

 

Income tax exemptions, deductions and credits help make Michigan’s income tax marginally progressive, partially offsetting the regressive nature of Michigan’s tax structure as a whole. One of the most important ways Michigan creates more fairness in taxes is through the state’s Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), a tax credit targeted to families with low incomes. In Michigan, the EITC is refundable, meaning it will be paid even if a household owes $0 in taxes. Refundable credits are generally more equitable than nonrefundable credits, which often leave out the households with the greatest need.

Prior to 2011, Michigan’s EITC provided a refundable credit equal to 20% of the federal credit. Today, that amount has been reduced to 6%, meaning working families are receiving only $150 on average compared to the $500 they would receive if the Michigan EITC were restored to at least 20%.[3]

EITC expansions at the federal level, as seen temporarily with the 2021 American Rescue Plan, can also have positive ripple effects for Michigan workers and families. Because Michigan’s EITC is coupled with the federal credit, an increase in benefits at the federal level leads to greater benefits at the state level. Progressive tax credits like the EITC are associated with higher levels of economic and intergenerational mobility, higher test scores for children and lower levels of food insecurity.[4]

 

In 2015, the state implemented an income tax rate reduction trigger. Beginning in 2023, this will force a rate reduction during any year when GF/GP revenue growth exceeds the rate of inflation by 1.425 times.

A primary problem with the trigger is how it interacts with unknown economic conditions as well as state tax and spending policies. Economic events, changes in federal tax policy, or modifications to state tax and spending policies causing one-time revenue jumps could trigger reductions even if they do not reflect anticipated long-term revenue growth.[5] Fortunately, because the trigger is linked to 2021 revenue, which came in far above expectations, the measure is unlikely to reduce the tax rate in the near future.[6]

 

[1] Elizabeth Pratt and David Zin. “History of the Michigan Individual Income Tax Rate.” State Notes. Senate Fiscal Agency, Spring 2015. https://www.senate.michigan.gov/SFA/Publications/Notes/2015Notes/NotesSpr15lpdz.pdf.

[2] “Advisory Opinion Regarding Constitutionality of 2011 PA 38.” State of Michigan Supreme Court, November 18, 2011. https://www.courts.michigan.gov/4a50df/siteassets/case-documents/uploads/opinions/final/sct/20111118_s143157_29_advisoryopn-op.pdf.

[3] IRS. “Statistics for Tax Returns with EITC | Earned Income Tax Credit,” December 2020. https://www.eitc.irs.gov/eitc-central/statistics-for-tax-returns-with-eitc/statistics-for-tax-returns-with-eitc.

[4] Raj Chetty, John N. Friedman, and Jonah Rockoff. “New Evidence on the Long-Term Impacts of Tax Credits.” IRS, November 2011. https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/11rpchettyfriedmanrockoff.pdf.

[5] Suzanne Lowe and David Zin. “Income Tax Rate Reduction Bill Analysis.” Senate Fiscal Agency, November 4, 2015. http://legislature.mi.gov/documents/2015-2016/billanalysis/Senate/pdf/2015-SFA-0414-E.pdf.

[6] Bob Schneider. “With COVID’s Fiscal Impact Clearer, Lawmakers Should Re-Examine Michigan’s Automatic Income Tax Rate Trigger.” Citizens Research Council of Michigan (blog), March 31, 2021. https://crcmich.org/with-covids-fiscal-impact-clearer-lawmakers-should-re-examine-michigans-automatic-income-tax-rate-trigger.

[7] “2020 Time Series Study.” American National Election Studies, July 19, 2021. www.electionstudies.org. These materials are based on work supported by the National Science Foundation under grant numbers SES 1444721, 2014-2017, the University of Michigan, and Stanford University.

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